Thursday, December 30, 2010

史上最差的房市

待售的二手房数量:
https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiNzJzss9ndwb7pqQKaYZAOE7IbRfugbQwfjFheQQpzQJ8xiipifuPSIYK-QYde6YNKbiohMr39Er2NhXKKBqSP1MxcbvFf7al2BIdBdV27sDdQ7VbiqehuEYl9TC1hidzrWFB_x-Gpl2U/s1600/MonthsSupply.jpg

新屋库存量: (converted to month of supply)

https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjWUtKO0RsZue3-furO140yOTIg5BjY4MnvTJ1S57TOVXmOrCg8bHnPHEzzaQW62ahfTQfDEQU95khCyKR_-sx-A-7HbJcZk3EYnm2lus3uc1WZBuBr8rcAWh2IiVs8aB7tXByEareBLuM/s1600/NHSMonthsJuly2010.jpg

新屋动工:New House Construction Rate is making a historical low at below 500K units per annual


http://i43.tinypic.com/359kbqo.jpg

household income 也是几十年最差。
http://www.davemanuel.com/charts/median_household_income.gif


但是,根据"历史经验",新屋动工数低于500K之后,房市一般就触底了。之后8到12年楼市会慢慢涨回来。




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